Can You Smell a Comeback?

To say that 2009 was a tough year for the Unitedwage costs. Outsourcing becomes a tempting avenue
States automobile industry is quite thein order to help drive down the rising average costs
understatement.  Many questions arise about theof their units sold. 
future of the U.S. auto industry.  Will the U.S. autoAdditionally, with oil prices continuing to rise, this has
makers make a comeback in 2010?  What kind ofrequired U.S. auto manufacturers to look at their car
changes will the companies make?  How will they belineups and determine what types of vehicles they
able to compete globally with their internationalneed to develop and enhance for the current market
competitors?demands.  Consumers are looking for more
Looking at GM and Ford, one would have to say Fordfuel-efficient cars.  U.S. auto companies, for a long
has a healthier and more positive outlook.  GM stoodtime, did not accept the fact that the rising gas
in line for a government bailout last year, and the U.S.prices would impact their demand for large
government has an approximate 60% stake in GM. SUV’s and trucks.   Walter McManus, University
On the contrary, Ford has not had to ask for anyof Michigan economist and former sales forecaster
government bail out money.  Ford has been able tofor GM, stated “he and other GM analysts
ride the performance of some solid vehicles (e.g. Fordtweaked projection model when they didn’t
Fusion) to keep them going steady.  A concern,believe the results”, while devaluing the impact of
though, is since the government does have such afuel economy in their forecasts (source: LA Times
big stake in GM and is assisting them financially, willarticle). Listening to the consumers and creating
this hinder equal and fair competition in the market,automobiles with specifications they want seems like
and, as a result, put Ford at a disadvantage.  Ina no-brainer, but has unfortunately been overlooked
other words, if GM continues to struggle, will theby many U.S. auto manufacturers. 
government continue to pump money into theirIt will be interesting to see how Ford and GM
company and enable them to have promotions andperform in 2010.  So far in January, all major U.S.
make investments, they otherwise would not haveauto makers performed better than expected sales. 
been able to.  Will this result in Ford feeling like theyAnd according to the Wall Street Journal, Ford
should receive a bailout too in order to equal theobtained second place, falling only to Toyota, in a
playing fields? consumer poll measuring “overall auto brand
In the past few years, there has been much analysisperception”.  GM has said that it will focus on
and research conducted on U.S. labor unions and howfour core brands in 2010 and is looking to release an
they have impacted U.S. manufacturing industries. electric vehicle.  Ford is continuing to increase its
Henry Payne wrote an article in 2005 discussingmarket share in the last few months, while GM’s
Delphi’s bankruptcy, and the company’scontinues to decline.  In addition, Ford analysts are
restructuring specialist Steve Miller said, “Wemaking projections to break-even in the 2011
cannot continue to pay $65 an hour for someone totimeframe, and GM is saying 2011 as well.   Analysts
cut grass and remain competitive.” (source:are predicting a slow recovery in 2010, and the
National Review article) companies are making fixed costs reductions as
The article goes on to discuss how unions have beenmuch as possible to enhance their profitability. 
able to classify the grass cutting job the same as anHopefully, the U.S. auto industry will be able to make
assembly line worker, resulting in the employeea turnaround and regain their strength.  They have
receiving lucrative benefits.  The U.S. auto industrybeen a foundation to the American culture and
has had to deal with these high labor and overheadlifestyle.  The U.S. auto makers need to continue
costs negotiated by the labor unions and has createdmaking quality products and staying ahead of the
obstacles and hardships when competing in the globalgame on innovation and technology.  They used to
marketplace.  These U.S. companies are not able tobe the leaders of the pack and will hopefully soon be
invest this money into technological advancements orthere once again.  It would be a shame to see them
new innovative concepts like a foreign competitorgo away.
who does not have to pay anywhere near the same